WEBVTT

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Thanks a lot.

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I will be a bit unusual speaker for this meeting.

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First of all, you will have all the time of my speech illustration in

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video.

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And that's really something unusual, but as journalists are telling

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it, that images speak better than words.

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I hope you will enjoy these images, although they are a bit

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threatening.

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The second point which I want to tell is that I would tell nothing

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about order or un-order or disorder of this world.

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You will have your own possibility to conclude.

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I wouldn't touch it at all.

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The only words which I am telling about order are now.

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And the third remark which I want to give as an introduction is that

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Chernobyl for me, it's not only the energy issue for Russia.

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Chernobyl is an image of environmental catastrophe, which happens in

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the country and which may happen further on.

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By the way, Chernobyl is not in Russia.

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Chernobyl is Ukraine.

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Just to be clear, sometimes it's a sensitive issue.

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I was in Chernobyl many times since 1992, so probably a couple of

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dozens of times, bringing journalists and making certain research,

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taking samples.

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And in fact, it is threatening.

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It looks awful.

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But speaking generally, there are no yet environmental catastrophes.

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Not in Russia, not in the world.

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It's not yet there.

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But we are slightly moving, and Russia is an example of what direction

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the world as a whole is moving nowadays.

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The main reason what is happening in Russia now, and which is casing

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all other consequences, is catastrophe in people's minds.

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Not environmental catastrophe, but real catastrophe in minds.

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That is related both to environmental protection, to nuclear, and to

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other areas as well, but that I wouldn't touch at all.

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And that's occurring both in the residents' minds as well as in the

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official minds.

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And who is leading the whole thing, the whole catastrophe, in the

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minds of Russian president, former or future Vladimir Putin, who is,

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by the way, a good friend of Mr. Schroder, is leading in this

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catastrophe.

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So what is happening in Russia generally?

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Environmentalists are normally speaking about catastrophic situation,

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and environmental protection and the nuclear industry, which is often

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argued by skeptics that exaggeration, that nothing is happening, and

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that big scale of the big square of the country neutralizes everything

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which is happening.

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It is not really true.

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And the major part of the dirty production of industry is consumed by

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nature.

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But it is slightly moving to the catastrophe.

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And you can see some pictures on the screen of what is happening.

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With two exceptions, all these pictures were taken during the last

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three years.

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So it's not something which is coming back from the history.

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It's current situation.

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It's simply not visible to many people in the country.

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And the system of protection of nature is totally collapsed as well.

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Like one very funny example, funny, it's not a proper word, one very

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strange example is there are only 40,000 people who are involved in

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nature protection control in the country together, and from them only

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15,000 are doing not paperwork.

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To compare with 130,000 which was 10 years ago means that it is at

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least 8 times decrease of those people who are involved.

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With nuclear control issues it's even worse because it was reorganized

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during 20 years 18 times, which technically means that there are no

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people left inside.

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And if you look on nuclear regulations in the country, significant

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part of the rights to regulate nuclear industry was given to the same

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company which is managing nuclear power plants, Rosatom, state-owned

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company, which is both developing nuclear, managing nuclear power,

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producing energy, and regulating their own activities.

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So that's what is happening now, and that is clearly showing that

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catastrophe is in the officials' mind who are doing that.

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What was the reason of changing attitude of this environmental

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attitude?

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A decade ago officials were thinking that there are only environmental

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protection laws and physical activities which prevent development of

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industry, and authorities were dreaming that industry will immediately

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jump up when all the environmental regulations will be canceled.

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Regulations were canceled, but nothing happens.

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There are no developments in this industry at all.

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It's still continuing.

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The only change which happens is that a lot of dirty industries was

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restarted in Russia or moved to Russia.

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And one of the examples, and that will be the last example about

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general nature protection, is a plant which is called Narilsky Nickel.

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Maybe you've heard about this complex which is located in Arctic, and

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it's emitting approximately 10% of substances emitted in Russia.

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It's a city of 400,000 people.

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It's located in Arctic.

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There are no environmental control body in this city.

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They are not monitoring atmosphere conditions in this city since 2003.

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The explanation is that the office of the body is in bad condition,

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that it needs reparations, and since 2003 they don't find out any

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money to repair the office of control service in Narilsk.

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At the same time, there are around 700 such offices in Russia, and a

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few of them were constructed in connection with the Olympic Games

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which are planned for 2014 by Mr. Putin as well.

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So you can compare their attitude and see how it works.

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And just recently, a couple of weeks ago, provincial authorities

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allowed this plant not to pay environmental taxes because it's quite

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poor.

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By the way, that's also a good example of Russian political system,

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because for those who are familiar with Russian elections, as you

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know, in coming presidential elections there is also another

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candidate, Prokhorov, another candidate for the presidency, who is

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very often accepted as a liberal candidate by public.

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In fact, Mr. Prokhorov for 10 years was owner of the shares of Narilsk

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Chemical and top manager of this plant.

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And he personally is responsible for the facts which are happening

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there and for 300,000 hectares of forest, at least, which were nearly

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destructed by this plant.

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That reflects well the system and attitude.

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And some figures and facts.

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In European Russia, less than 10% of intact forest left.

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In Siberia, less than 30%.

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When you are telling about intact Siberia, it's not true.

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It is not intact anymore.

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It was seriously cut.

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The amount of oil which is flowing to Arctic Ocean from Russia,

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according to official records, is half a million tons a year, which is

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approximately one-fourth of the oil which is leaking to the oceans in

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the world.

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One-fourth only through Arctic River.

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Official data from the Russian state services, which I can confirm

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you, are right.

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Share of drinking water source samples, which doesn't correspond with

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sanitary norms, is around 30%.

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Just to compare it with what was in 1985 during Soviet times.

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It was twice more.

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And quality of no one of Big River become better since 1995.

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I cannot find the previous records.

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They are complicated to find.

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More than 100 cities in the country have an air pollution higher than

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allowable level.

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Within nuclear industries, there are 32 nuclear units in Russia, from

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which you should consider as a big one, 28.

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Four of them are based very far away and are very small.

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And there are plans to construct, in the coming 15-20 years, 15 to 35

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new nuclear units.

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There are different documents and different decisions, but 15 is the

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lowest figure.

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And after Fukushima catastrophe, the nuclear plans become even more

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ambitious, differently from any other part of the world.

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They are planning to build more.

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And similar to 1985, the officials are explaining that the Russian, at

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that time it was Soviet, nuclear reactors are the safest in the world.

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It was publication in the EIA magazine in 1985 when reactors of

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Chernobyl type, at that time it was RBMK reactors, there are no

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Chernobyl type yet, are the safest.

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Now the same is told about the Russian reactors.

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It is not so far from Japanese telling in 2010 that Japanese nuclear

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industry is one of the safest, is not the safest one of the world.

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But the plans are already there.

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And what are the reasons of these plans?

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There are several of them and I will analyze a few of them.

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But one of the reasons which is quite important is that the reserves

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of the gas prom and gas reserves in Russia are decreasing.

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And in several years they will decrease in an extent that there will

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be not enough gas to export.

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And they want to replace internal gas consumption by nuclear, which

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sounds a bit strange, but how it works.

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And it's interesting to give one general figure which compares

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worldwide development of environmental situation in different

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countries, which was performed by the Yale University.

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And Russia in the environmental trends occupy the last place in the

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world as of data from 2012.

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132 countries and 132nd place is Russia's place in environmental

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trends in the world.

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106th place is among the environmental conditions, environmental

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performance index.

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By the way, Germany occupies 56th place.

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And the conditions in terms of changes and in terms of conditions,

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Germany occupies 11th place.

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So not bad, I would tell.

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Comparably to Russia, it's dramatically high.

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And that's what finally happens.

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Chernobyl was not the only nuclear catastrophe in Russia.

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And just to excuse, I am using not EIA terms.

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I am using terms which I am feeling are right.

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It was a catastrophe.

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And there were several nuclear catastrophes before.

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Some of them are still hidden and unknown.

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Information is, if not classified, absolutely unreachable.

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For example, Leningrad nuclear power plant, 75.

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Information is not available.

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Chechnya explosion of nuclear submarine, 85, just a year before

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Chernobyl.

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Information is hardly can be found out, suppressed.

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It was suppressed by untrained people.

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And I think information is classified because it's very limited

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information in public minds.

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There were also important catastrophes which seems to be similar to

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Chernobyl in terms of scale, happening in 57 and 67, when it was

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explosion of middle level waste storage next to Ural mountains.

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And when the storm distributes the sand, polluted sand, during very

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dry summer from the lake, where radioactive substances were

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discharged.

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At the time of the event, 400,000 people were somehow irradiated.

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Few villages were resettled, but three villages were left inside, till

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now.

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One of them already gone, but not because it was resettled.

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But two villages are still in the area which is not allowable for

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people to leave, even now.

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And last three years, one of the villages was resettled, partly, by

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Rosatom, this nuclear company which is exploiting stations.

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The people were moved in the zone which is still polluted according to

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the law, but a bit closer to the cemetery of this village.

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So the whole thing become much more comfortable for them.

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And there was direct corruption involved.

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Surprisingly, the state money, or corporation money, was given for

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this resettlement to a fund organized by three private persons.

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And it need, although we were writing a lot of complaints to the

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officials, the only case when they start investigation, when we

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managed to present a paper about corruption directly to President

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Medvedev.

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Only when he read it, he sees that there was a 40% of this 25,000 euro

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given to people, a kickback of 40% requested in the official

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documents.

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Only after that investigation started, there was a search in Rosatom

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and this corporation done.

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One person was arrested, probably several people were arrested.

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But that is an illustration of the whole situation with the nuclear

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industry now.

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It's not what happened 25, 26 years ago.

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It's what is happening just now.

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When you see this corruption, total disorder, sorry for using this

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word, in the nuclear energy system.

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And total attitude to the people who are suffering can only happen as

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a result of total disbalance in the minds of officials.

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I'm supporting my first sentence that it's total disbalance in the

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minds of officials.

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Spending money for Olympic Games, 12 billion which are coming there,

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and having 25,000 for those people who are suffering in the village

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for a settlement, which is honestly not enough, physically not enough.

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You need at least 40 to be resettled normally to the village to

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construct a building.

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What was the reason of this 25,000?

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It's a very interesting comparison story.

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When Putin was involved in the firefighting issue and used it for

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political debates, he promised and gave to people 50,000 euro for a

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settlement for those who suffer from fires.

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And these people from nuclear village was not involved in any

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political campaigns.

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That was just a thing which needed to be done.

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And it's 25,000.

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Just for those who don't know exactly the figures how much money

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liquidators from Chernobyl are receiving now in Russia.

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It's a bit less than 10 euros per month.

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It's 370 rubles.

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For those who know how much ruble is, you can imagine what is it.

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It's monthly payment for the people who were involved and who suffer,

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which is proved from Chernobyl liquidation 26 years ago.

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Not many of them are left, but it's what is given to them by the

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state.

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That's why it also demonstrates the attitude and how trustful can be

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these authorities.

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After that, even taking away all the technical issues, I would not

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trust what are they telling me about technical safety.

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I would suggest that they are lying immediately knowing the other

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story.

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Anyway, shortage of nuclear specialists is another story with the

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Russian nuclear problem.

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And safety of the reactors is also a question mark.

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And the most important development, which happened recently, is

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constructing a floating nuclear reactor, which will supply electricity

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to any distant point, starting from Indonesia and South America up to

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the northern part of Russia.

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That construction will be finished in one and a half year as max.

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And we'll have another strange facility, which will produce the most

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expensive electricity in the world, whatever you can imagine.

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But still, it's under construction.

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And the question mark is, what is the reason of such attitude?

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And many people ask me informally here, what is the reason of Russia

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developing nuclear program after what happened in Fukushima, after

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having Chekhov experience?

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And there are several reasons, which we can only guess.

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But the first one is definitely lobbying.

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And what else can I add to that?

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But the second, which is probably most important, is that current

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Russian officials, including Putin, including Medvedev and others, for

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whatever reasons, believe that if you want to have a great country,

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you need to have nuclear energy.

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And after that, they don't listen to any arguments.

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In fact, they don't take anything in mind.

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They believe that country must have nuclear energy, and let's go

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ahead.

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And also, they are not listening arguments and don't believe in

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alternatives.

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They believe that alternatives are a kind of toys of rich countries.

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And the literacy of top officials in the nuclear issues is like

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nothing.

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I can give you one example.

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Just recently, Vladimir Putin publicly stated that windmills are

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dangerous for the environment because they destroy soil warmth.

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It was a formal statement by Putin published.

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What else can I tell about the qualification of that person?

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And that

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is Chernobyl.

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Also, another thing, while alternatives is a problem one, is that

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government can hardly manage a big number of smaller facilities.

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They even cannot manage separate waste collection in big cities.

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They prefer to bring it together and then incinerate instead of

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separating, which is quite easy thing.

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But still, as my time is coming to the end, I will try to be very

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short.

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So, first of all, there are several things which are connected with

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nuclear in Russia.

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Lack of information, falsification of information.

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It's still happening.

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We can hardly get information on what happens after certain nuclear

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incidents.

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It's very complicated.

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True information is not coming, and when we speak about the

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information, it should be first of all true.

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And it's not coming.

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The second thing, there are no emergency plan for existing nuclear

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facility for local residents.

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It does not exist for the villages which are surrounding nuclear power

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plant.

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It is still consequences of nuclear energy are not known and not fully

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evaluated.

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One of the official statement of Rosatom was that there were 32 people

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who died from Chernobyl only.

18:17.470 --> 18:17.590
Why?

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If you take demographic data, just demographic data and properly apply

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demographic science, you will see that only in Russia around 40,000

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people died during 24 years after Chernobyl.

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And generally, including Soviet Union, there will be around 100,000

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-150,000, and you should get at least the same number of people in

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Europe.

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But it's another story about consequences.

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And as I have very short time, then I will tell about the attitude of

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population.

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I was telling about the officials.

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Population, unfortunately, is also behaving quite conformist.

18:49.970 --> 18:54.410
And generally, people are split more or less half by half, with a bit

18:54.410 --> 18:58.810
bigger than 50% supporting nuclear energy, a bit bigger.

18:59.150 --> 19:02.210
The only time when population is starting to fight against nuclear

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power plant and when they become aware about nuclear power, it's when

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the plant is planned near in their backyard, in their province.

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Then 80% of people become aware, and 80-90% of people don't want

19:15.830 --> 19:17.810
nuclear power to be constructed in their region.

19:18.390 --> 19:22.390
But unfortunately, according to the national laws, their voice doesn't

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mean anything.

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And there was already a referendum in one of the Russian provinces

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which vote against nuclear power, but the Supreme Court tells that

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it's wrong voting.

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They have no right, and nuclear power was constructed.

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It's now there.

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So I'm trying to finalize the whole thing.

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General conclusions, a few general conclusions, and if somebody would

19:41.990 --> 19:45.370
like to ask me questions, I can answer questions after the lecture, so

19:45.370 --> 19:46.050
please do it.

19:46.570 --> 19:50.150
And my belief is that environmental technological disasters generally

19:50.150 --> 19:54.050
are a case in the first, and not because of bad technologies or unsafe

19:54.050 --> 19:54.530
technologies.

19:54.650 --> 19:57.050
The first wrong thing is what I've told.

19:57.050 --> 20:01.270
It's bad minds, it's disorder in people's minds, which is in turn

20:01.270 --> 20:04.950
causing using of bad technologies or unsafe technologies, or improper

20:04.950 --> 20:06.290
using of good technologies.

20:07.550 --> 20:11.590
And many, very often people, and starting from the officials, but also

20:11.590 --> 20:15.310
human beings, just ordinary human beings, are not ready to think about

20:15.310 --> 20:16.410
long -term consequences.

20:16.890 --> 20:20.150
They believe that events which just have possibility will never happen

20:20.150 --> 20:21.030
in their backyard.

20:21.470 --> 20:23.870
That's what happens with Chernobyl, that's what happens with

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Fukushima, that's what may happen with other nuclear plants.

20:28.110 --> 20:32.030
I would remind the statement which, as Greenpeace International, we

20:32.030 --> 20:36.690
did at the 20th anniversary of Chernobyl, six years ago, that there

20:36.690 --> 20:39.610
are obviously no questions if the next nuclear catastrophe happens.

20:40.070 --> 20:43.550
There are only questions when it will happen and where.

20:43.970 --> 20:45.670
And since that time, Fukushima happens.

20:46.030 --> 20:49.090
I can repeat these words, there are no questions if the next nuclear

20:49.090 --> 20:49.970
catastrophe happens.

20:50.090 --> 20:51.310
It will inevitably happen.

20:51.310 --> 20:51.470
There are no questions.

20:51.470 --> 20:53.970
It's only a question when and where.

20:54.690 --> 20:58.290
And that's why it's much better to escape all the technologies which

20:58.290 --> 21:01.070
are threatening, and with a small possibility, which have a capacity

21:01.070 --> 21:04.310
to influence half of the globe, like what happens with Chernobyl.

21:04.850 --> 21:08.490
And with the environment itself, it's also a question with the climate

21:08.490 --> 21:11.470
changes, which is the most threatening problem now.

21:11.930 --> 21:15.530
There are a lot of environmental problems worldwide, but the one which

21:15.530 --> 21:18.670
is really coming and which is inevitable is climate change.

21:18.670 --> 21:22.410
And there are a lot of governments who are behaving selfish and

21:22.410 --> 21:26.410
believe that either the job will be done by somebody else, or that the

21:26.410 --> 21:28.390
job will be done when they will retire.

21:30.370 --> 21:33.570
And I think that is what needs to be resolved.

21:34.310 --> 21:37.390
At the end, I would like to tell that I was not trying to be too

21:37.390 --> 21:37.890
pessimistic.

21:38.050 --> 21:40.370
I was trying just to bring some objective information.

21:40.630 --> 21:43.930
Unfortunately, that was not an academic lecture, but I hope that you

21:43.930 --> 21:44.430
enjoyed.

21:44.770 --> 21:47.650
And now you have a chance to judge about order or disorder.

21:47.650 --> 21:48.230
Thank you.

